Covid "lab leak theory": What we've learned
"While scientists still predominantly believe the virus occurred naturally in animals and spread to humans in an outbreak at a market in Wuhan, China, the
US Department of Energy's Office of Intelligence and Counterintelligence is
now the second tentacle of the US government intelligence apparatus, along
with the FBI, that endorses the "lab leak theory" - the minority view that the virus occurred as a result of work in a Chinese lab.
"Most of the intelligence community remains either split or leaning toward the natural occurrence theory that scientific investigations have concluded as
most likely. But without conclusive evidence, no one has been able to reject the lab leak theory entirely."
The article also points out that the DOE and FBI are two of 18 agencies that make up our government's "intelligence community" and are the only two that endorse the lab leak theory. The DOE has endorsed the theory with only a "low confidence," while the FBI has "medium confidence." Neither have come out
and endorsed the theory with "high confidence" because there is not enough evidence to do so.
"[F]our components of the intelligence community and the National Intelligence Council believed, like most scientists, that 'natural exposure' caused the virus." Three other elements of the community did not believe they could draw a conclusion based on the evidence and, at the time, only the FBI endorced the lab-leak theory.
"A low confidence assessment generally means that the information obtained is not reliable enough or is too fragmented to make a more definitive analytic judgment or that there is not enough information available to draw a more robust conclusion."
Despite some claims in this echo in the past that knowing where the virus
came from is not important, the article draws a different conclusion as
knowing where it came from determines what steps need to be taken in future
to prevent it from happening again.
More at the link above.
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